Introduction. The research topic “Analysis of forecasting methods for development of the system of training qualified workers and middle-level specialists” is devoted to an important theoretical and practical problem of the applicability of the results of predictive research in making managerial decisions.
Aim. To consider the process of forecasting the development of the secondary vocational education in a non-economic context; to identify and clarify the complex of non-economic, yet organisational and pedagogical parameters of the state of the specified system as objects of forecasting.
Methods. A comprehensive analysis of the processes of modernisation of the secondary professional education was carried out using various forms of statistical analysis, modeling, analysis of theoretical approaches, comparative analysis.
Results. Nine main parameters of forecasting the state of secondary professional education system in the process of modernization are identified: priorities in the value-oriented settings; the degree of practice-oriented educational system; variability of educational programs and the educational process; openness of the educational system of a professional educational organization; quality of education; prevailing ways of working with a contingent of students; the depth of digital transformation of the educational process; the level of integration of an educational organization into the socio-economic ecosystem of the region; the success of graduates in their professional activities.
The scientific novelty lies in the proposed set of non-economic, organizational and pedagogical parameters of forecasting the state of secondary vocational education system.
The practical significance of the research results lies in the new ability within management practice to directly assess the impact of modernization efforts on the secondary professional education system, predict forthcoming changes, and strategically plan management interventions within this system.