Dr. Sci. (Pedagogy)
Federal Education Development Institute, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Moscow, Russian Federation
Introduction. Due to the imposition of sanctions and the development of import substitution at Russian enterprises, not only is the nomenclature of the equipment used changing, but in many cases the technological processes are also changing. This is a serious challenge to adapt to the new economic conditions by realigning with compatible equipment and technologies.
Aim: to define the degree of readiness of Russian educational organisations implementing secondary vocational education programmes to solve the problems of renewal and import substitution, based on the data obtained during an empirical study.
Methods. Empirical data were collected using an electronic questionnaire form, which included 22 closed questions. The processing of the obtained primary results was carried out on the basis of cluster analysis.
Results. It has been revealed that vocational education organisations are not adequately prepared to address the issue of updating equipment in the context of the achievement of technological sovereignty by the Russian Federation. The contribution of employers to the process of updating equipment in educational institutions turned out to be significantly less than expected. The use of certain management strategies by an educational organisation has little effect on the quality of its material and technical support. The key determinant is its location in a financially prosperous region and access to regional sources of financing.
Scientific novelty. The nature and degree of influence of various factors on the effectiveness of equipment renewal and import substitution processes in educational organisations implementing secondary vocational education programmes are revealed. The differences in the created conditions and management strategies used by educational organisations to solve logistical problems (diversification of financing channels, cooperation with employers, import substitution planning, personnel training) are characterised.
Practical significance. A set of conditions and management strategies have been defined to ensure an increase in the efficiency of equipment renewal and import substitution processes. The current problem areas in the management of material and technical support of the secondary vocational education system are identified.
Introduction. The announced plans of the Ministry of Education to develop a new education strategy by the autumn of 2024 make the problem of forecasting the development of the training system of qualified workers and technicians relevant.
The aim of this article is to develop a methodology for forecasting the level of readiness of the secondary vocational education system to solve the problem of the qualified personnell provision for the economy.
Methods. The authors used methods of comparative and general analysis of scientific data on approaches to forecasting and its practices in Russia and abroad, data extrapolation, modeling, theoretical and cluster analysis, synthesis and conceptualisation.
Results. A strategy for forecasting the development of a system for training qualified workers and technicians is presented, including the types of data and parameters used for forecasting, its stages, and methods of working with data.
The scientific novelty lies in the substantiation of ways to use big data analytics tools (predictive analytics) to manage the development of the vocational education system.
The practical significance lies in the proposed set of forecasting tools and algorithms for its use to manage the development of the secondary vocational education system. Among them: predictive analytics tools, data requirements used in the predictive analytics system, forecasting stages and conditions for the effectiveness of its results.